Depression # 6 aka Florence

[lalecl]

PalmBeachPost.com Storm Advisory

WTNT31 KNHC 032030
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
500 PM EDT SUN SEP 03 2006

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1525
MILES...2455 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON
MONDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...14.6 N...40.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

[Pasomom]

11PM advisory is about the same....35 MPH winds.

[lalecl]

ABNT20 KNHC 040236
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS INITIATED ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX...LOCATED ABOUT 1395 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

[lalecl]

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX...LOCATED ABOUT 1345 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD MOVING
TROPICAL WAVE SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS...ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT31 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

[lalecl]

...DEPRESSION ALMOST A TROPICAL STORM...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS
RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST OR ABOUT
1235 MILES...1990 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...16.3 N...42.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

[Privatetreaty]

NOAA map

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/205137.shtml?5day


.

[Cindy]

Hmm. It appears to be heading straight for Perry. Do you think it is coming to Nationals? The timing looks about right. :shock:

[Privatetreaty]

Hmm. It appears to be heading straight for Perry. Do you think it is coming to Nationals? The timing looks about right. :shock:

Oh brother, here we go again.
Remember 2004?


.

[Cindy]

Yep, drove the whole way down in the doggone thing. :evil:

[Pasogirlz]

Hmm. It appears to be heading straight for Perry. Do you think it is coming to Nationals? The timing looks about right. :shock:

I was thinking the same thing. :-? Let's hope it fizzles out.

[Pasomom]

Ya'll don't even talk like that! I missed Nationals last year because of hurricanes!

[lalecl]

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 935
MILES...1510 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...17.3 N...47.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

[lalecl]

Tropical Storm Florence projected path

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/adc_hurr_images/2006/af/UHAF_2.GIF

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/adc_hurr_images/2006/af/UHAF_2.GIF

[DSDECKERT]

Do y'all remember a little storm 2 years ago named Jeanne? She looked like she was going to go back out to nowhere and turned around and hit Florida HARD!!!

So, even though this looks promising, keep an eye on it.

[lalecl]

I agree with Debbie.
Thanks for the reminder

[lalecl]

...FLORENCE GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...SHOULD STRENGTHEN SOON...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST OR ABOUT 770
MILES...1235 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT
1240 MILES...1995 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND FLORENCE COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...19.0 N...51.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

[lalecl]

...FLORENCE GETTING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE OPEN
ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.9 WEST OR ABOUT 560
MILES...900 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
ABOUT 1015 MILES...1630 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FLORENCE IS AN UNUSUALLY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 405 MILES...650 KM FROM THE
CENTER. A SHIP LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH.